How our lineups are built

By the numbers

24 NFL slates in the published record.

What each station checks

1. 1.Data intake

   • Vegas lines, spreads, and implied team totals set how much scoring a game can produce.
   • DraftKings salaries, season-long usage, and depth-chart role, so a salary is read against the work a player actually gets.
   • Injury and inactive reports are checked through the week and again before lock, so a late scratch changes the build.
   • Projections come from several paid and public projection sources. Weather and venue are checked for every outdoor game.
2. 2.Game script

   • The script is written down before any lineup is built.
   • It states the pace, the scoring environment, and which side of the ball carries the game.
   • Matchups sit in the script: team offense and defense rates, and which receivers line up against which defenders.
3. 3.Simulation

   • That script is run through thousands of simulated game outcomes.
   • The lineup pool is Thousands of combinations. That count is the build shape.
   • Nothing in this station is a leaderboard. It is the range of ways the game can be played.
4. 4.Stack and correlation builder

   • Correlated groups of players are built from the script, not from a list of names.
   • A group has to show up often enough that it actually appears in the set.
   • A stack that fights the script does not move forward.
5. 5.Volume and floor gate

   • A player needs a real path to targets or touches.
   • Upside has a floor of about 5 points. Below that, the player does not get a real share of the set.
   • A cheap salary does not waive the volume check.
6. 6.Exposure caps and leverage

   • A cap limits how often the most popular plays can appear.
   • A second cap limits the cheapest, low-volume plays.
   • The set looks for ownership leverage instead of copying the field.
7. 7.Lineup assembly and rule check

   • Salary, roster spots, and duplicate lineups are checked before a lineup can ship. Showdown is a Captain and five Flex. Classic is QB, two RB, three WR, TE, Flex, and DST. Golf is six golfers. Each set stays under the $50,000 cap.
   • Each slate also carries a confidence score from 0 to 100. It combines data completeness, source agreement, matchup edge, field leverage, volatility, and our track record on similar slates. The score is public. The reasons are for subscribers.
   • The check is zero-fail. A lineup that breaks a rule does not go out.
   • 150 lineups entered, with a 20-lineup core inside that set.
8. 8.Contest fit and the filled entries file

   • The set is fit to the contest types we actually enter.
   • Subscribers upload the entries file for contests they already joined.
   • We fill that file, best first. This page does not publish a lineup.
9. 9.Post-slate review

   Feeds the next slate.

   • A post-mortem compares the projection with what happened.
   • Every contest we enter is graded against DraftKings results.
   • A rule that failed is locked into the next build. That review is the return path to data intake.

See plans