Case Keenum, Kalif Raymond and a Double-Up That Split in Two: PHI @ CHI Showdown Takeaways

DraftKings NFL Showdown, Monday Night Football, Week 3 (Mon 9/28/2026). Eagles at Bears. Final: Bears 27, Eagles 7.

Chicago was without its usual starting quarterback. Philadelphia came in 2-0, favored by more than a field goal, and carried the chalk in nearly every lineup on the slate. Then Case Keenum, making his first start in almost three years, threw for 247 yards and two touchdowns, ran one in himself, and the Bears won by 20.

We pulled the full DraftKings standings for 20 Showdown contests on this game: the $1.5M Monday Night Showdown, the big 20-max rooms, single-entry and 3- and 5-max tournaments, and three double-ups. That's nearly 338,000 entries. Here are the headline patterns that showed up in the field.

Headline findings

1. The double-ups split into two chalk builds — and only one was the cash line.

In Showdown double-ups the most popular lineup usually is the cash line, because a third or more of the room plays it. This slate had a twist: there were two near-identical builds from the popular public projections, essentially tied, that differed only by a kicker and a cheap receiver. Together they were 49–67% of every double-up room. The game then picked a side by about six points. The cash line in all three double-ups landed on exactly one of those two scores. Captain flips of the same six players would have won or lost together.

2. The underdog script and leverage captains owned the top finishes.

The field went heavy on the favorite: Philadelphia 5-1 builds were 20.7% of tournament lineups and just 1.3% of cashing lineups, with none in the top 1%. Philadelphia 4-2 builds were another 36% of the field and also produced zero top-1% finishes. Chicago-side 4-2 and 5-1 builds were only about 14% of the field but about two-thirds of the top 1%. Captains ranked 8th or lower in captain ownership were 16.6% of tournament lineups and 72.5% of top-10 finishes. QB captains accounted for 59% of top-10 finishes on this slate — a break from the usual pattern across earlier Showdowns.

3. Both-DST and both-kicker builds were dead in the field.

Lineups with both defenses were 2.4% of tournament entries. They cashed 11.7% of the time (field average 23.9%), and none of the 8,016 finished in the top 1%. Both-kicker builds were 4.1% of lineups, cashed 15.5% of the time, and had a top-1% rate of about 0.01%. Two defenses or two kickers in six slots leaves too few spots for the players who actually score.