Thursday Night Football recap: first place in the $12K Safety

Thursday, October 8, Tampa Bay played at Dallas and won 24-16. One of our entries won the NFL Showdown $12K Safety [20 Entry Max]: first place, $1,036, by 0.25 points. The winning score was 134.84. Second was 134.59.

Other Showdown entries cashed that night as well, including in the $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown and the $70K Chain-Mover.

What we were looking for

A one-game lineup has one job: ride a script. We set the game script before running simulations, looked at where ownership was about to cluster so a pivot could still belong to that script, and built the portfolio from the pre-lock data we had. The margin was 0.25 points, so one roster spot was the difference between first and second.

DraftEdge.io is NFL & PGA Tour DFS Research. Thursday night was one Showdown slate inside that work.

One slate is a small sample. The next game is its own problem.

A plan includes the game-script read for this slate and how expected ownership shaped the pivots. See plans.

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